Risks and Vulnerabilities
France must navigate serious threats:
Social Fracture
Deepening divisions could tear society apart: - Urban-rural antagonism - Generational conflicts over resources - Cultural clashes intensifying - Economic inequality exploding - Political extremism rising
Economic Stagnation
Multiple factors could trap France in decline: - Productivity growth stalling - Innovation ecosystem failing - Demographic burden overwhelming - Global competitiveness eroding - Brain drain accelerating
Environmental Catastrophe
Climate impacts could overwhelm adaptation: - Agricultural collapse from extreme weather - Mass climate migration pressures - Infrastructure destruction costs - Tourism assets degraded - Health system overwhelmed
Technological Disruption
Rapid change could leave France behind: - AI eliminating millions of jobs - Platform monopolies extracting value - Cyber attacks crippling infrastructure - Biotechnology risks materializing - Digital divides deepening
Geopolitical Marginalization
France could lose influence and autonomy: - European project fragmenting - Atlantic alliance weakening - Technology dependence deepening - Economic coercion increasing - Soft power declining